The Wood is Good

Today features a lot of “pretty good” plays in the B+/B range but not a ton that on the “OH MY GOD!!!” standout level.

Let’s jump into the plays for Tuesday, April 15th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• James Wood (WSH) vs. Mitch Keller [GRADE: A-]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
7-21	.333	.471	1.190	.333	53.33%

I try to never trust anybody named Mitch (or Chad) in my life, so we're gonna put our hope on ol’ James here. Wood has been really solid (see what I did there?) the past week as well. I’ll point out that Josh Bell has solid BvP numbers against Keller as well if you’re looking to diversify.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.75-1u), HR (0.3), hit parlays.

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value.

• Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Zack Littell [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
7-14	.500	.511	1.214	.143	58.33%

Sox bats as a whole have been scuffling this week, but Duran has at least been decent. That said, they’ve had a hard time scoring runs, so everything becomes a little more challenging. Like I was saying … lots of “pretty good” plays today vs. elite monsters. H+R+R is what I would like here if the juice isn’t stupid.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R (0.75u), TB (0.5u), HR (0.2 lotto), hit parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Sunday, April 13 …

✅ Manny Machado: 1-3, double, 2 runs

❌ Fernando Tatis: 1-5

❌ Nick Castellanos: 0-3

❌ Kyle Schwarber: 0-3

❌ Pete Alonso: 0-4, run

✅ Vlad Guerrero: 2-5, RBI

✅ Elly De La Cruz: 1-4, RBI

❌ Bobby Witt: 1-4

Honestly, I hate betting baseball on Sundays and may personally take the day off from actual plays. I’ll still deliver the Pitch Mix selections for those that want them, but it’s definitely the most hit or miss day of the week.