The Parade of Weirdoes

Oddball day of picks today. Short slate of games and a few of them have very solid pitchers going, so just a smattering of picks today. It’s also a getaway day so lineups could be funky as well.

Let’s jump into the plays for Thursday, April 24th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

Bobby Witt (KC) vs. Chase Dollander [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
8-25	.320	.395	.964	.200	52.36%

Witt has been a little quiet the last few days, so maybe his lines won’t be ridiculous (not holding my breath). Lines will dictate how in depth I wanna get on Witt.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (up to 1u), HR (0.3-0.5u with promos and boosts), hit parlays

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

William Contreras (MIL) vs. Landen Roupp [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
3-10	.300	.415	1.044	.300	55.56%

Very small sample size, but Contreras is also 3-4 off Roupp in his career. All singles though, so ideally I’d like the H+R+R market or might just do some kind of parlay play with Witt if I can’t get anything I like on either guy.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u), hit parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Tuesday, April 22 …

✅ Pavin Smith: 2-3, HR, 2 RBI, 2 runs

✅ Josh Naylor: 2-4, RBI

✅ Corbin Carroll: 1-3, double, 2 runs

❌ Austin Hays: 0-3

❌ Fernando Tatis: 1-4

✅ Nathaniel Lowe: 1-4, HR, 2 RBI, run

✅ Steven Kwan: 2-4, run

❌ Xavier Edwards: 1-4

✅ Maikel Garcia: 2-4